(Last updated 2016-03-24 08:52:50)

Wednesday08:00 - 09:00
Wednesday09:15 - 10:15
Keynote Address: Tim Besley, LSE
Wednesday10:15 - 10:45 Tea
Wednesday10:45 - 11:45Parallel Sessions A
Session A1


Talita Greyling, A comparison of the effect of internet access on global life satisfaction and on specific domains of life satisfaction

Marisa von Fintel, Subjective well-being and reference groups in post-apartheid South Africa

Frances Elise Rousseau, Subjective well-being, relative income and proximity to urbanization in South Africa

Session A2
Economics of
Tobacco Control


Grieve Chelwa, Evaluating South Africa’s Tobacco Control Measures: A Synthetic Control Approach

Naiefa Rashied and Ling Ting, A household-level trend analysis of tobacco consumption in South Africa: evidence from NIDS

Hana Ross, Tobacco Industry Tax Avoidance in Response to Tax Increases

Session A3
History 1
organized by
the Economic
History Society
of Southern


Lorraine Greyling, Gary Magee and Grietjie Verhoef, Economic development in settler societies: Australia and South Africa in comparative settler development trajectories, 1850-1909

Lorraine Greyling and Grietjie Verhoef, Foundations of Republican economic development: GDP of the Zuid-Afrikaansche Republiek and the Oranje-Vrijstaat, 1854 -1909

Frederich Kirsten, Lorainne Greyling and Grietjie Verhoef, The calculation and analysis of consumption patterns and a Consumer Price index for Natal Colony, for the period 1850 to 1909

Session A5
Labour Markets


Christian Bredemeier, Wage Gaps, Earnings Gaps, and the Market Power of Employers

Philippe Burger and Frederick Fourie, REDI3x3: Towards better policy: A macroeconomic model with an informal sector and high open unemployment

Wayde Flowerday, Continuity and Change: shifts and continuities in South African regulation of labour markets since 1994 and the comparative analysis of the impact of the 1998 Employment Equity Act on employment.

Session A6
Industrial &
Policy 1


Lowell Scarr, Is public investment in R&D valuable? The ARC PPRI Weeds Research Division

Simon Roberts, REDI3x3: A critical review of the record of competition enforcement

Oluwatobi Enigbokan and Olukunle Ogundele, A Systematic Review of Competition Policy Implementation: Institutional Mechanisms for Success

Session A7
& Spatial
Issues 1


Gibson Mudiriza, A contextual analysis of South Africa’s spatial economy.

Clive Coetzee, Estimation of the Spatial Autocorrelation Function for Kwazulu-Natal

Clive Coetzee, Spatial Regression Application for KZN

Session A8
Inflation 1

Tshepo Masipa, The Pass-through impact of oil price on inflation in South Africa: A Time Series Analysis

Manoel Bittencourt, Rangan Gupta and Lardo Stander, Socio-Political Instability and Inflationary Dynamics

Vafa Anvari, Byron Botha, Darren Chamberlain, Rudi Steinbach and Rowan Walter, Assessing the impact of time-varying monetary policy credibility in affecting inflation expectations

Session A9
Trade 1


Fariha Kamal and Asha Sundaram, Spatial Concentration of Buyer-Seller Matches in International Trade: The Role of Institutions and Infrastructure

Marianne Matthee and Maria Santana Gallego, Trade margins of South Africa: A gravity model approach

Mulatu Fekadu Zerihun, Martin Breitenbach and Francis Kemegue, The way forward on African Economic Integration Initiatives: Evidence from Southern African Development Community

Wednesday11:50 - 12:50Parallel Sessions B
Session B1
Perspectives on
Piketty and
(with panel


Raymond Parsons, Piketty on inequality - new light on an old story?

Peet Strydom, Capital in the twenty-first century: Different views on Thomas Piketty

Chair: Stan du Plessis
Discussant: Justin Visagie
Session B2
Economics of
Education 1


Stephen Taylor, Volker Schoer, Brahm Flesich and Thabo Mabogoane, The impact of a remedial reading programme on second language grade 4 students in KZN: Evidence from a randomised experiment

Session B3
History 2
organized by
the Economic
History Society
of Southern


Grietjie Verhoef, The opportunity of inequality: Rise of African business in the twentieth century

Peter Baur, Determining a commodity value using ‘Value of Information’ for a market structure in which the laws of the ‘invisible hand’ does not hold

Session B4
Monetary Policy


Shakill Hassan, Siobhan Redford and Franz Ruch, The Evolution of Dispersion in Inflation Expectations

Session B5
Labour Markets


Jean-pierre Geldenhuys, Explaining changes in labour's share of income in South Africa

Gloria Kgalalelo Setou, The economy-wide impact of increasing wages in the South African mining sector, a CGE approach

Kholekile Malindi, Tenure profile, employer learning and labour market signalling

Session B6
Money and


Sunday Adesina, Banking Sector Development in African Countries: A Comparative Study

Johan Coetzee, Relationship banking: A new research agenda

Session B8
Firm Behaviour


John Paul Dunne and Rethabile Masenyetse, The Determinants of Firm Survival in South Africa

Ewert Kleynhans and Moloto Joe Sekhobela Sekhobela, Intellectual capital of the various manufacturing sectors of South Africa

Mamello Nchake, Lawrence Edwards and Asha Sundaram, Price-setting behaviour and competition in developing countries: An analysis of retail outlets in Lesotho

Session B9

Henri Bezuidenhout and Sonja Grater, The dimensions of FDI in the tourism sector in Africa

Kafayat Amusa, Can Foreign Aid Enhance Domestic Resource Mobilization Efforts In Nigeria?

Kwena Matjekana and Tshepo Masipa, An Analysis of Foreign Direct Investment, Exports and Economic Growth in South Africa: Granger-causality Approach

Session B10
Industrial and


Pontsho Mathebula, Keabetswe Mojapelo, Yongama Njisane and Ricky Mann, How Competition Policy can contribute towards a more equitable society - A South African perspective

Lowell Scarr, The rising role of biotechnology: A new wave of innovation

Helanya Fourie, Lara Granville and Nicola Theron, Regulating for a competitive telecommunications sector

Wednesday12:50 - 14:00 Lunch
Wednesday14:00 - 15:20Parallel Sessions C
Session C1
Economics of
Education 2


Derek Yu, Atoko Kasongo and Mariana Moses, Evaluating the performance of the South African economics departments, 2005-2014

Leigh Neethling, The determinants of academic outcomes: A competing risks approach

Kgothatso Moerane, Lorraine Greyling and Naiefa Rashied, An analysis of the impact of winter schools on the academic performance of Economics students

Alicia Fourie and Waldo Krugell, Economic literacy of introductory economic students in South Africa: Is it on track?

Session C2


G. Charles-cadogan, Myopic Loss Aversion and Intolerance for Decline in Standard Of Living

Co-pierre Georg and Christoph Aymanns, Trading in Coupled Financial Networks

Session C3
Water & Energy
Prices and
Policy 1


Roula Inglesi-lotz, Social rate of return to R&D on various energy technologies: where should we invest more? A study of IEA countries

Martine Visser and Alex Child, The Announcement Effect & Climate Thresholds: Early Warnings of Future Thresholds under different framing and risk contexts

Emily Ikhide and Charles Adjasi, Renewable And Non-Renewable Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: The Case Study of Nigeria

Olalekan Bashir Aworinde, Are Energy Consumption and GDP Per Capita Asymmetric? Empirical Evidence from Nigeria

Session C4
Monetary Policy


Kevin Kotze, Mehmet Balcilar and Rangan Gupta, Markov-Switching in an Estimated Small Open-Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa

Angelique Gugulethu Nindi, SADC Monetary Unification: An Empirical Investigation of Demand and Supply Shocks

Yashvir Algu and Kenneth Creamer, A macroeconomic trilemma or dilemma? Evaluating South Africa’s open economy

Tobias Knedlik, Lenders of last resort in monetary unions: the cases of the euro area and CMA

Session C5


Stan du Plessis and Jannie Rossouw, The SARB’s pioneering experiment in nominal income targeting

John Hart, Is a value-free economics possible or desirable?

James Fairburn, Welfare Economics Then and Now

Session C6
Economic Growth


Nonso Obikili, The Relationship between Educational Attainment and Growth at the sub-National Level.

Alain Kabundi, Franz Ruch and Elmarie Nel, Nowcasting GDP growth in South Africa

Monaheng Seleteng and Sephooko Motelle, Sources of Economic Growth in the Southern African Development Community: Its likely Impact on Poverty and Employment

Asanda Fotoyi and Ronney Ncwadi, Assessing the efficiency of South Africa’s preliminary quarterly GDP announcements

Session C7
Economics of
the Household 1


Manoel Bittencourt, Evidence on Primary Education and Fertility Rates from Southern Africa

Sevias Guvuriro and Frikkie Booysen, Family Public Goods and Intra-Household Decision-Making by South African Couples

Frederik Booysen, Celeste Campher, Tshepo Moloi and Alistair Munro, Social Discounting and the Family: Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment

Session C8
& Spatial
Issues 2


Bruce Rhodes and Tamlyn McKenzie, Understanding the socio-economic factors associated with water services and sanitation in South Africa

Bevuya Banele Mdlankomo and Etiyel Chibira, The role of Truck Stops facilities in combating road freight fatalities along the North South Corridor

Sanele Gumede and Mihalis Chasomeris, South Africa’s Port Pricing Methodology and Financing Investments

Gift Dafuleya, A Model of Geographically Stretched Households Applied to the Second Largest City in Zimbabwe

Session C9
Markets 1


Mehmet Balcilar, Rangan Gupta and Stelios Bekiros, The Role of News-Based Uncertainty Indices in Predicting Oil Markets: A Hybrid Nonparametric Quantile Causality Method

Y. Modeste Some, Time - Varying Volatility and Risk Premia in General Equilibrium

Nico Katzke, Willem van Lill and Albertus van Niekerk, The information content of implied volatility: Evidence from South Africa

Cobus Vermeulen, Fanie Joubert, Jannie Rossouw and Adél Bosch, Can currency in circulation predict South African economic activity?

Session C10
New data, new
insights: Micro
data based
analysis of
firms and
using SARS


Nicola Viegi, Biniam Bedasso, Johannes Fedderke and Nonso Obikili, Mark-ups and Competitiveness of the South African economy: a firm level analysis

Lawrence Edwards, Marco Sanfilippo and Asha Sundaram, Intermediate Inputs and Export Growth: Evidence from South Africa

Neil Rankin, Marianne Matthee, Tasha Naughtin and Carli Bezuidenhou, Extensive and intensive margins of exporting and productivity amongst South African firms

Andrew Kerr and Martin Wittenberg, Estimating worker and job flows using South African Revenue Service administrative data

Wednesday15:30 - 16:50Parallel Sessions D
Session D1
Economics of
the Household 2


Carolyn Chisadza and Manoel Bittencourt, Education and Fertility: Panel Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa

Ramaele Moshoeshoe, Birth Order and Educational Attainment: Evidence from Lesotho

Ferdi Botha, Frikkie Booysen and Edwin Wouters, Family functioning in South African families: The role of socioeconomic status

Session D2
Economics of
Tobacco Control


Hana Ross, Nicole Vellios, Katherine Clegg Smith, Joanna Cohen and Jackie Ferguson, A Closer Look at “Cheap White” Cigarettes

Caitlan Russell and Corne van Walbeek, How do increases in the excise tax on beer impact the retail price of beer? The evidence from South Africa

Bertha Bangara, Tobacco Price Shocks and the Malawian Economy

Catherine Namome, Beatrice Conradie, Corne van Walbeek and Tony Leiman, Farming typologies for West Nile Uganda, with implications for tobacco control policy

Session D3

Brown Gardner and Johane Dikgang, Finding a Best Conservation Park Entry Fee for Kruger National Park

Gerald Kibira, The Structure and Level of Entrance Fee in Serengeti National Park in Tanzania

Herbert Ntuli, A Bio-economic Analysis of Community Wildlife Conservation in Zimbabwe

Nqobizitha Dube, Gavin Fraser and Jen Snowball, Perceptions on the natural environment from a rural African perspective: A case of Cylondropuntia fulgida var. fulgida in Gwanda district, Zimbabwe

Session D4
Behavioural &


Co-pierre Georg and Michael E. Rose, Friends in Central Places -- The Value of Formal and Informal Intellectual Collaboration

Michael E. Rose and Co-pierre Georg, Eight Facts about Informal Collaboration in Financial Economics

Glenn W. Harrison, Andre Hofmeyr, Don Ross and J. Todd Swarthout, Risk preferences, time preferences and smoking behaviour

Marc Piazolo, Fairness dominates human behavior (in South Africa)

Session D5
Exchange Rates


Mark Ellyne and Samson Mbewe, Capital Flight and the Role of Exchange Rates in Nigeria, South Africa and Zambia

Lordina Amoah and Meshach Aziakpono, Exchange Rate Behaviour in Ghana: Is there a Misalignment?

André Jordaan and Ndivhuho Netshitenzhe, South Africa's exchange rate and sectoral export performance

Mike Nyawo, Micro-Price Adjustment to the Multi-Currency System in Zimbabwe

Session D6
ERAN session,
chaired by Mr
Madula, dti


Lesley Wentworth, Azwimpheleli Langalanga and Mark Schoeman, Foreign Direct Investment and Inclusive Growth in Southern Africa

Yongama Njisane, Pricing conduct, State aid and the implications for industrial development in South Africa

Ermie Steenkamp, Sonja Grater and Wilma Viviers, Identifying market access opportunities of South Africa's exports in Sub-Saharan Africa

Wilson Mabasa, The impact of informal traders on the economic development of Limpopo

Session D7
Trade 2


Anja Slany and Jana Riedel, New panel data evidence on Sub-Saharan trade integration - Prospects for the COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite

Matthew Clance, Banking Crisis and the Heterogeneous Impact on Bilateral Trade

Jason Milton, The SADC Payments Integration System (SIRESS): Progress, Prospects and Challenges

Betchani Tchereni, Greening Economic Growth in SADC: The Role of Trade Policy

Session D8
Monetary Policy


Ivan van der Merwe, The role of a Financial Stress Index in the South African Macro-prudential Framework

Vafa Anvari and Rudi Steinbach, Spillovers from asynchronous monetary policy in advanced countries: the case of South Africa

Harold Ngalawa, Monetary Policy and Interpolation of Informal Sector Time Series in Low Income Countries: Evidence from Malawi

Session D9
Markets 2


Anmar Pretorius and Alain Kabundi, A factor analysis of global stock market integration

Andreas Freytag and Susanne Fricke, Sectoral Linkages of Financial Services as Channels of Economic Development – an Input-Output Analysis of the Nigerian and Kenyan economies

Co-pierre Georg and Silvia Gabrieli, A Network View on Interbank Market Freezes

Session D10


Talent Zwane, The determinants of household savings in South Africa:a microeconomic perspective

Anna Orthofer, What we talk about when we talk about savings (and what we measure when we measure them): Concepts and measures of household savings in South Africa

Adel Bosch and Steve Koch, Evaluating the quality of South African savings data from the Income and Expenditure Survey (IES)

Mmamoletji Oniccah Thosago, The saving behaviour of households with social grant recipients in Freedom Park, Soweto.

Wednesday18:00 - 
School of Economics
Welcome cocktail function
Thursday08:00 - 09:00 Registration
Thursday09:00 - 10:00Parallel Sessions E
Session E1
Poverty 1

Daniela Casale and Chris Desmond, The extent of physical catch-up growth amongst malnourished children, and the implications for cognitive function: Evidence from the Birth to Twenty Cohort Study

Rufaro Garidzirai and Tshediso Joseph Sekhampu, Perceived causes of poverty in South Africa Township

Josh Budlender, Murray Leibbrandt and Ingrid Woolard, Weakly relative poverty lines in developing countries: The case of South Africa

Session E2


Jacob Twala, Financial Literacy in KwaZulu-Natal - a Case of Umkhanyakude District Municipality

Session E3
Water & Energy
Prices and
Policy 2


Jessika Andreina Bohlmann, Heinrich Bohlmann, Roula Inglesi-lotz and Jan van Heerden, How Would Changes in the Energy Generation Mix Affect the South African Economy and Environment: A CGE Analysis

Angelika Goliger, Landon McMillan, Wian Boonzaaier and Konstantin Makrelov, The Tipping Point: The impact of rising electricity tariffs at a sector and company level

Nomsa Phindile Nkosi and Johane Dikgang, South Africans Willingness to Pay for Renewable and Nuclear Energy to Avoid Power Outages

Session E4
Firm Behaviour


Godfrey Mahofa, Crime and Firm Entry in South Africa: An Instrumental Variable Approach

G. Charles-cadogan, A Regulator’s Exercise of Career Option To Quit and Join A Regulated Firm’s Management with Applications to Financial Institutions

Session E5
Labour Markets


Sandra Makumbirofa and Andrea Saayman, Forecasting demand for qualified labour in the South African hotel industry

Dieter von Fintel and Johan Fourie, The pre-colonial roots of structural unemployment

Thomas Ferreira, Does Education Enhance Productivity in Subsistence Agriculture? Causal Evidence from Malawi.

Session E6
Trade 3


Marko Kwaramba, Neil Rankin and Prudence Kwenda-magejo, Tariff liberalisation and export trade margins in South Africa

Francois Karl Steenkamp and Lawrence Edwards, The product characteristics of South Africa’s export growth

Session E7

Dan Ben-moshe, Dependent Factor Models

Nicky Nicholls and Alexander Zimper, Modeling expectations: do likelihood judgments exhibit an inverse-S shape?

Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi, External Debt Accumulation in Sub-Saharan African Countries: How Fast Is Safe?

Session E8
Fiscal Policy 1

Hammed Amusa and David Fadiran, Can Property Taxation Contribute to Cost Control: Empirical evidence from South Africa's Municipalities

Mark Schoeman, Public Debt and Post-Crisis Fiscal Policy in South Africa

Raymond Alenoghena, Financial Market Development and Fiscal Deficit Financing in Nigeria

Session E10
Health 1
Geol Sim

Katherine Eyal and Justine Burns, Up or Down? Intergenerational Mental Health Transmission and Cash Transfers in South Africa

Chijioke Nwosu, Impact of Depression on Earnings in South Africa

Thursday10:00 - 10:20 Tea
Thursday10:20 - 11:20Parallel Sessions F
Session F1
Economics of
Education 3


David Lam, Arden Finn and Murray Leibbrandt, Schooling Inequality, Returns to Schooling, and Earnings Inequality: Evidence from Brazil and South Africa

Stephen Chisadza, A Bivariate Probit Model of the Transition from School to Work in the Post-compulsory Schooling Period in South Africa

Manoel Bittencourt, Democracy and Education: Evidence from the Southern African Development Community

Session F2
Firm Behaviour
and Employment


C. Friedrich Kreuser, Towards a Firm Understanding of South African Manufacturing: Introducing the South African Private Enterprise Dataset

Lawrence Edwards, Wayde Flowerday, Neil Rankin, Gareth Roberts and Volker Schoer, Restructuring of the South African economy: 1994 – 2014

Frederick Fourie and Andrew Kerr, RED3x3: Informal sector employment creation in South Africa: What can the SESE enterprise survey tell us?

Session F3

J Paul Dunne and Santigie Mohamed Kargbo, Intraregional and Interregional FDI in Africa: Markets-driven, Natural resources or Efficiency-seeking?

Ceren Erdogan, Matthias Busse and Henning Mühlen, China's Impact on Africa - The Role of Trade, FDI and Aid

Session F4
Markets 3


Haakon Kavli and Nicola Viegi, A two-country DSGE model with portfolio flows and financial intermediaries

Christelle Grobler and Ben Smit, Enhancing the financial sector linkages in the Bureau for Economic Research’s core macroeconometric model

April Mthupha and Kutlwano Ramaboa, Investigating the Share Price on the Jse Rafi 40 in Reaction to Public Company Announcements

Session F5
Exchange Rates


Darrol Stanley, Levan Efremidze and Jannie Rossouw, Trading of the South African Rand Utilizing Entropy Analytics

Nasha Nikita Alexandre Mavee, Axel Schimmelpfennig and Roberto Perrelli, Surprise, Surprise: How Unexpected Economic News Drives the Rand/U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility

Tony Nchokoe Matlasedi, Richard Ilorah and Stephen Zhanje, The impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on South Africa’s trade balance

Session F6
Fiscal Policy 2

Kabeya Clement Mulamba and Fiona Tregenna, The crowding-out effects between components of municipal expenditure

Kabeya Clement Mulamba and Fiona Tregenna, Convergence of municipal expenditure in South Africa

Sabelo Mtantato and Sasha Peters, A Review of Direct and Indirect Grants in South Africa: Case study for selected infrastructure grants

Session F7
Redi 3x3:


Thando Vilakazi and Simon Roberts, REDI3x3: Understanding firm behaviour and the implementation of competition policy as part of an inclusive growth agenda for South Africa

Gaylor Montmasson-clair and Reena Das Nair, Redi 3x3: Channelling Economic Regulation to stimulate Inclusive Growth: Lessons from South Africa’s Renewable Energy Experience

Session F8
Income Mobility

Rulof Burger, Stephan Klasen and Asmus Zoch, Estimating income mobility when income is measured with error: the case of South Africa

Thomas Ferreira, Measuring Economic Mobility in Namibia using Repeated Cross-sections

Session F9
Behavioural and


Ece Yagman and Malcolm Keswell, Economics of Language: Accents, Trust, and Discrimination in a Social Exchange Setting

Melt van Schoor, Imperfect Outcomes in the Ultimatum Game - Results from an Agent-Based Simulation Model

Dambala Gelo Kutela, Cooperation under alternative punishment institutions: Experimental evidence from commons’ dilemma

Session F10
Economic Growth
Geol Sim

Shingie Chisoro and Roula Inglesi-lotz, Exploring the relationship between energy Research and Development (R&D) investment and economic growth using a comparative analysis

Gupta Rangan, Lardo Stander and Andrea Vaona, Openness and Growth: Is the Relationship Non-linear?

Mohammad Salahuddin and Jeff Gow, The effect of the Internet on economic growth in Southern African countries: A combination of panel and time series approaches

Thursday11:25 - 13:05
AGM, Presidential Address & Questions to the Editor of the SAJE
Thursday13:05 - 14:00 Lunch
Thursday14:00 - 15:20Parallel Sessions G
Session G1
Inequality 1

Servaas van der Berg and Debra Shepherd, South Africa is not a Latin American country: Prospects for wage redistribution

Rahul Anand, Siddharth Kothari and Naresh Kumar, Labor Market Dynamics and Inequality in South Africa

Anthea du Toit and Martin Wittenberg, Decomposing changes in South African earnings inequality 1994-2011: The role of skills and institutions

Session G2
Health 2

David Khaoya, Murray Leibbrandt and Ingrid Woolard, Income Related Health Inequalities in South Africa

Claire Vermaak and Tamlyn McKenzie, The prevalence and opportunity cost of disability in South Africa

Alfred Mukong, Social Networks and Maternal Health Care Utilisation in Tanzania

Session G4

Mduduzi Biyase, Microeconomic Determinants of Migration and Remittances in South Africa

Oluwatobi Enigbokan, Beverly Edkins and Olukunle Ogundele, Relevance of Migration Theories in the identification of influencing factors for Nigerian and Zimbabwean migrants in South Africa

Marcel Kohler, An Empirical Analysis of Energy Efficiency in South Africa

Session G5
Markets 4


Kofi Agyarko Ababio and John Muteba Mwamba, Comparative Performance Assessment of Expert Subjective Ranking of Stocks in the Financial Industry: The Use of Multi Criteria Analysis

Mccpowell Fombang and Charles Adjasi, Financing structure and Firm Innovation in selected Sub Saharan Africa Countries

Nicolaas van der Wath, A total return index for South Africa

Dawid van Lill, Balance Sheet Policies and Financial Stability

Session G6
Economic Growth


Johannes Kemp, Ben Smit and Stan du Plessis, Estimating and explaining changes in potential growth in South Africa

Kotikoti Tleane, An Analysis of Economic Growth and Inflation in South Africa

Yoseph Getachew, Redistributive policies and growth-inequality tradeoffs

Bernard Njindan Iyke and Nicholas Odhiambo, Real Exchange Misalignments And Economic Growth In Ssa: Panel-Data Evidence

Session G7
Economics of
Education 4


Annika Barbara Bergbauer, The English Treatment - How to overcome socioeconomic predetermination in education

Janeli Kotze, Investigating cognitive performance differentials by socio-economic status: Comparing Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America - Towards a new methodology

Paula Armstrong, Teacher characteristics and student performance: An analysis using hierarchical linear modeling

Anderson Gondwe, Education and earnings in Malawi: panel data evidence

Session G8
Public Finance


Krige Siebrits, Interaction of formal and informal institutions: Evidence from road safety legislation

Frederik Booysen, Celeste Campher, Tshepo Moloi and Alistair Munro, “Show me the Money”: Incentivizing the Social Discounting Task

Ada Jansen and Estian Calitz, Towards discovering the role of formal and informal institutions in tax gap analyses in South Africa

Session G9
Poverty 2

Farisha Panday, Role of Decision Science Modelling and Systems Analysis to Enhance Sector Integration in South Africa

Kotie Viljoen, Derick Blaauw and Rinie Schenck, Picking waste for a “dollar or a dime”: An income analysis of street waste pickers in South Africa’s informal economy

Rochelle Beukes, Ada Jansen, Mariana Moses and Derek Yu, Exploring the eligibility criteria of the Child Support Grant and its impact on poverty

Session G10
Exchange Rates

Lordina Amoah and Meshach Aziakpono, Exchange Rate Development and the Macroeconomic Economic Performance in Ghana: An Overview

Azwifaneli Nemushungwa, Volatility of the South African rand

Azwifaneli Nemushungwa, Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Growth in South Africa: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach

Melvin Khomo and Meshach Aziakpono, The behaviour of the real effective exchange rate of South Africa: Is there a misalignment?

Thursday15:30 - 17:10Parallel Sessions H
Session H1
Inequality 2

Ratjomose Machema, Murray Leibbrandt and Ingrid Woolard, Economic Stratification in Post-Apartheid South Africa

Anthanasius Fomum Tita and J Meshach Aziakpono, Financial development and income inequality in Africa. A panel heterogeneous approach

Peet Strydom, Labour's declining income share

Martin Wittenberg, The top tail of South Africa's earnings distribution, 1994-2011

Session H2


Sophie Kasse-kengne, Securitization: Post Financial Crisis responses of BRICS’ Regulators

Marko Kwaramba and Calvin Mudzingiri, Taxes Rates, Economic Crisis and Tax Evasion: Evidence using Zimbabwe and South Africa Bilateral Trade Flows

Henry Cockeran and Waldo Krugell, Measuring South Africa’s susceptibility to crises

Session H3
Resources &


Dambala Gelo Kutela, Edwin Muchapondwa and Mintiwab Bezabih, Climate risk, risk preference and agricultural input demand in Ethiopia: Does input type matter?

Realeboga Ngwanaeng, Johane Dikgang and Sunita Prugsamatz, Assessment of meat consumption patterns in South Africa

Kerri Brick and Martine Visser, Risk Attitudes and Adaptation: Experimental Evidence from a Flood-Prone Urban Informal Settlement in South Africa

Heinrich Gerwel, Beatrice Conradie and Anthony Black, Agricultural efficiency analysis: A tool for informing agricultural and land reform policy in the Eastern Cape?

Dambala Gelo Kutela and Edwin Muchapondwa, Forest commons, rural saving and investment: Evidence from Ethiopian villages

Session H4


Gideon Boako and Alagidede Paul, Hedges and Safe Havens: An Examination of African Stocks and Global Economic Factors

Haakon Kavli, Asset allocation based on nowcasts of economic activity, inflationary pressure and monetary policy

Thandolwamahlase Sibisi and John Mwamba, An extended empirical analysis on asset allocation in the BRICS stock markets

Peter Baur, Analyzing price setting behavior in the market for 'Fine Art'

Session H5
Labour Markets


Heinrich Bohlmann, The Impact of the 2014 Platinum Mining Strike in South Africa: An Economy-Wide Analysis

Derek Yu, Rochelle Beukes, Simba Murozvi and Tina Fransman, Under-employment in South Africa

Chris Garbers, Rulof Burger and Neil Rankin, The impact of the agricultural minimum wage on farmworker employment in South Africa: A fixed effects approach

Refilwe Lepelle, A Decomposition Analysis of Spatial Employment Dynamics in South Africa.

Session H6
Money and
Banking 2


Mark Ellyne and Benjamin Jourdan, Did the National Credit Act of 2005 Create a Credit Boom and Bust?

Paul Dunne and Elizabeth Kasekende, Financial Innovation and Money Demand: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Elizabeth Kasekende and Eftychia Nikolaidou, Financial Innovation and Money Demand with a Focus on Mobile Money: The case of Kenya

Mokgadi Maleka, The impact of the National Credit Act (NCA) on Credit Risk in the South African Banking Sector

Jimmy Alani, Money and Interest Rates in Uganda

Session H7
Sport & Tourism

Gavin Fraser, Ferdi Botha and Robert Fraser, Determinants of success of golfers on the Sunshine Tour: a multi-equation analysis

Luke Humphrey and Gavin Fraser, 2010 World Cup stadia investment: Does the post-event usage justify the expenditure?

Kelcey Brock, Gavin Fraser and Ferdi Botha, Sport consumption patterns in the Eastern Cape: Cricket spectators as sporting univores or omnivores

Session H8
Trade 4


Mustafa Sakr and Andre Jordaan, Emerging multinational corporations: Theoretical and conceptual framework

Roseline Misati, Financial integration and economic growth in the COMESA AND SADC regions.

Kwena Matjekana, Regional Economic Integration Challenges for SADC: Seeking a viable approach.

Session H9
Money and


Olufemi Saibu, Financial Reforms, Structure and Competiveness of Nigerian Banking Industry

Tumisang Bertha Loate, Investigating the bank lending channel using disaggregate bank loans

Session H10
Economic Growth


Beatrice Desiree Simo-kengne, Johane Dikgang and Sunita Prugsamatz, Causal relationship between Meat consumption and economic growth in SEAFO countries: Evidence from panel Granger causality test

Khathu Todani, South Africa Economic Growth Spillover to SADC

Ronald Rateiwa, Financial structure gap and economic growth: Evidence from selected countries in Africa

Emilie Kinfack, the determinants of economic growth in Africa: evidence from Bayesian Model Averaging

Thursday19:00 - 
Smuts Dining Hall
Gala dinner
Friday08:00 - 09:00 Registration
Friday09:00 - 10:40Parallel Sessions I
Session I1
Health 3

Amanda Musandiwa, Johane Dikgang and Sunita Prugsamatz, Knowledge, health and meat consumption: Analyzing South African consumers’ meat consumption habits and the potential for more information on meat labels to alter buying behavior

Muna Shifa, Subjective well-being, income aspirations, and relative status in poor economies

Laura Rossouw, Poor health reporting: do poor South Africans underestimate their health needs.

Ralitza Dobreva, Who is healthier? Investigating South African patterns of reporting heterogeneity in self-rated health

Session I2

John Paul Dunne and Nan Tian, The Determinants of Civil War and Excess Zeroes

John Paul Dunne and Nan Tian, Conflict, Economic Growth and Spillover Effects in Africa

Carolyn Chisadza and Manoel Bittencourt, Globalisation and Conflict: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa

Nthabiseng Tsoanamatsie and Manoel Bittencourt, Education and Conflict in sub-Saharan Africa

Bonginkosi Mamba, André Jordaan and Matthew Clance, Globalisation and Conflicts: A Theoretical Approach

Session I3
Labour Markets


Jimmy Alani, Determination of Whether Uganda's Technological Progress is Labor Intensive

Andrew Charman and Leif Petersen, REDI3x3: Temporal and spatial enterprise change in a township informal economy: evidence from Delft South, Cape Town.

Derick Blaauw, Rinie Schenck and Anmar Pretorius, “The times they are a changing”: The changing nature of day labouring in South Africa’s informal economy

Simon Ssekabira Ntege, Wage Inequality and Ability Sorting in South Africa’s Private and Public Sectors, Amidst Transition Policies

Session I4
Trade 5


Tankiso Abel Thibane, The role of international institutions of global governance in steering globalization

Christine Makanza, The role of Non-Traded Goods in Current Account and Exchange Rate Determination

Dale S Mudenda, Tariffs and Retail Price Dispersion: Intranational Evidence for Zambia

Session I5
Resources 1


Roula Inglesi-lotz and Jeetesh Manillal, Critical evaluation of the determinants used in the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) literature

Juniours Marire, Jen Snowball and Gavin Fraser, Making rules to live by: Was the proposed regulatory regime for invasive species reasonable? Perceptions of the South African trout industry

Franz Ruch, Second-Round Effects from Food and Energy Prices: a SBVAR approach

Nicholas Kilimani, Impact of drought on the Ugandan economy

Annabel Horn, Establishing the correlation between water use and the change in economic market value of different fruit types in the Western Cape.

Session I6
Inflation 2

Vincent Dadam and Nicola Viegi, Estimating a New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve for South Africa

Goodness C. Aye, Causality between Oil Price and South Africa’s Food Price: Time Varying Approach

Adel Bosch, Jannie Rossouw and Vishnu Padayachee, The first formal linking of the inflation perceptions and inflation expectations of South African consumers

Nelene Ehlers, South African inflation expectations: Non-rational heterogeneity

Session I7
Fiscal Policy 3

Tshepo Masipa, The Nexus Between Corruption and Governance since the dispensation of Democracy in South Africa

Philippe Burger, Krige Siebrits and Estian Calitz, The public sector balance sheet and fiscal consolidation in South Africa

Prudence Stephen Moyo and Nicola Viegi, Optimal Fiscal Policy in a dollarised economy

Session I8
Industrial and
Policy 2


Willem Boshoff, A price-smoothness test for collusion

Anthea Paelo, Thando Vilakazi and Genna Robb, Keeping the land wet: competition and incumbency in the liquid fuel value chain in South Africa

Nina Taylor, Asrat Tsegaye and Syden Mishi, The Contribution of Automobile Industry Exports to Economic Growth: Cazse Study of South Africa.

Keabetswe Mojapelo, Evaluating the role of rule-of-thumb consumers in fiscal multipliers:

Session I9
Markets 5


Gideon Boako and Paul Alagidede, Co-Movement between Africa and International Stock Markets: Time-Varying Conditional Correlations with Wavelet Analysis

Matthew Ocran, Household Demand for Risky Financial Assets in South Africa

Ronald Rateiwa, The role of non-bank financial institutions and the bond market in the finance-growth nexus: A case study of Africa’s three biggest economies

J. Hinaunye Eita, The Role of Governance Indicators in Stock Market Development of Selected Sub-Saharan Economies

Session I10
Poverty 3

Maria Ngarachu, Axel Schimmelpfennig and Volker Schöer, The Costly Road to Work? Wages and Transport Costs in South Africa

Jaco Mostert, Measuring poverty in Limpopo: An analysis of the different measures of poverty and the multiple deprivation index

Kezia Lilenstein, Murray Leibbrandt and Ingrid Woolard, An Examination of In-Work Poverty in South Africa: The Impact of Income Sharing in the Presence of High Unemployment

Bernice Owusu-brown, Factors affecting Ghana's ability to achieve the Millennium Development Goal Five

Flora Kurasha, The Impact of Hyperinflation on multidimensional poverty: The Case of Zimbabwe

Friday10:40 - 11:10 Tea
Friday11:10 - 12:50Parallel Sessions J
Session J1
Health 5

Steven Koch, Out-of-Pocket Payments: A View Over Time

Carmen Christian and Ronelle Burger, Availability, affordability and acceptability of healthcare in post-apartheid South Africa

Abieyuwa (abi) Ohonba, Maternal Socio-economic status and child health outcomes in South Africa

Ronelle Burger, Rulof Burger and Anja Smith, Does insurance affect health care utilisation if the health system is polarised? Evidence from a South African natural experiment

Session J2
Economics of
Education 5


Nic Spaull and Elizabeth Pretorius, Exploring relationships between oral reading fluency and reading comprehension amongst English second language readers in South Africa

Musa Abdu, Sunday Olabisi Adewara and Elizabeth Olioni, Determinants of Access to Safe Toilet Facilities and its Rural-Urban Disparity in Nigeria

Ramaele Moshoeshoe, Educational Achievement and Educational Inequality in Lesotho: Changes and Determinants

Nicola Branson, Clare Hofmeyr and David Lam, The impact of the no-fee school policy on enrolment and school performance: Evidence from NIDS waves 1-3

Session J3
Resources 2


Mumamba Mwansa and Gavin Keeton, Is the natural resource "curse" a myth?

Genius Murwirapachena, Johane Dikgang and Ronney Ncwadi, Costs and performance of South African water utilities

David Fadiran, Resource Curse or Institutions Curse?

Patricia Madigele and Jen Snowball, Water, water everywhere: Is Integrated Water Resource Management the right institutional prescription for South Africa's water management challenges?

Nicholas Kilimani, Water taxation and the Double dividend Hypothesis

Session J4
Fiscal Policy 4

Christine Makanza and J. Paul Dunne, Fiscal Consolidation, Fiscal Policy Transmission, and Current Account Dynamics in South Africa

Ian Stuart and Khetha Dlamini, A fiscal risk framework for South Africa

Olalekan Bashir Aworinde and Adegbemi Babatunde Onakoya, Testing the validity of Wagner's Law in Nigeria: Evidence from Non-Linear Causality

Session J5
Trade 6


Duncan Pieterse, Enhancing South Africa’s export competitiveness: reform of the port and rail network

Sibanisezwe Khumalo and Asrat Tsegaye, Is there a link between Trade liberalisation and productivity of domestic industries? Case of South Africa

Tasha Naughtin, Neil Rankin and Marianne Matthee, The South African Exporter’s Missing Productivity Premium: A characteristic of the data or something more?

Peter Chacha, A portrait of Kenya's Product and Destination Mix and Performance in Export Markets

Moses Herbert Lubinga, The impact of the EU-GSP scheme on horticultural exports from Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda

Session J6
Industrial &
Policy 3


Ryan Hawthorne, The impact of quality on choice of a fixed line telecommunications service

Pamela Mondliwa, REDI3X3: Capability development, industrial policy and growth in the plastics sector.

Ernst Idsardi, Ermie Steenkamp, Wilma Viviers and Herman van Schalkwyk, South Africa's Agro-complex: Creating Employment and Export Opportunities Through Diversification

Sunel Grimbeek and Katerina Barzeva, The Effectiveness of Merger Control in South Africa

Siyaduma Biniza and Mpho Tsebe, Analysing Total Factor Productivity growth in South Africa’s Manufacturing Sector using a DEA-based Malmquist Productivity Index

Session J7
Business Cycles

Willem Boshoff and Stan du Plessis, Recoveries in the South African business cycle

Wian Boonzaaier, The Asymmetric Behaviour Of Tax Revenue Over The Business Cycle

Hilary Patroba, New-Keynesian DSGE model, durable goods and collateral constraint in a small open economy

Carike Claassen, Alain Kabundi and Elsabe Loots, Co-movement between China and advanced economies: recoupling or decoupling?

Session J8
Water & Energy
Prices and
Policy 4


Reyno Seymore and Martin Combrinck, Alternative growth industries in Gabon: An Input-Output analysis

Heinrich Bohlmann and Jan van Heerden, Analysing Energy Sector Policy Proposals: Considerations for Economic Modellers and Policymakers

Olufemi Saibu and Oluwasola Omoju, Macroeconomic Drivers And Barriers To Renewable Electricity Technology Adoption In Nigeria

Jessika Andreina Bohlmann, Heinrich Bohlmann, Roula Inglesi-lotz and Jan van Heerden, An Economy-Wide Evaluation of New Power Generation in South Africa: The Case of Kusile and Medupi

Session J9
Markets 6


John John Muteba Mwamba, Another Reason why the Efficient Market Hypothesis is Fuzzy

Ziv Chinzara and Jamela Hoveni, Capital Flows Volatility and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

Adonia Chiminya and Efi Nikolaidou, An empirical investigation into the determinants of external debt

Gideon Petrus du Rand and Co-pierre Georg, Interbank Contagion under Optimal Contracts

Session J10
Labour Markets


Cecil Mlatsheni and Murray Leibbrandt, An Analysis of the First Wage of Youth in Cape Town

Adeola Oyenubi, Who benefits from being self employed

Anthea Paelo, Does culture matter? Exploring youth unemployment in South Africa using Hofstede’s theory of cultural dimensions.

Vimal Ranchhod and Arden Finn, Estimating the short run effects of South Africa's Employment Tax Incentive on youth employment probabilities using a difference-in-differences approach

Tamlyn McKenzie, English language proficiency and labour market participation in South Africa.

Friday12:50 - 14:00 Lunch